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Update app.py
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app.py
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import streamlit as st
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data
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def generate_efficient_frontier(returns, cov_matrix, num_portfolios=5000):
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num_assets = len(returns)
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results = np.zeros((3, num_portfolios))
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for i in range(num_portfolios):
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weights = np.random.dirichlet(np.ones(num_assets), size=1)[0]
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portfolio_return = np.dot(weights, returns)
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portfolio_volatility = np.sqrt(np.dot(weights.T, np.dot(cov_matrix, weights)))
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sharpe_ratio = portfolio_return / portfolio_volatility
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results[0, i] = portfolio_return
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results[1, i] = portfolio_volatility
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results[2, i] = sharpe_ratio
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return results
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# Streamlit UI
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st.title("Analisis Portofolio Saham Optimal (Model Markowitz)")
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#
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try:
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# Ambil data saham
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stock_data = get_stock_data(tickers_list, start_date, end_date)
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mean_returns, cov_matrix
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st.subheader("Efficient Frontier")
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fig, ax = plt.subplots()
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scatter = ax.scatter(results[1, :], results[0, :], c=results[2, :], cmap="viridis", marker='o')
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ax.set_xlabel("Risiko (Standar Deviasi)")
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ax.set_ylabel("Return Tahunan")
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ax.set_title("Efficient Frontier")
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fig.colorbar(scatter, label="Sharpe Ratio")
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st.pyplot(fig)
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else:
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st.error("Optimasi portofolio gagal. Coba dengan saham yang berbeda.")
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except Exception as e:
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st.error(f"Terjadi kesalahan: {e}")
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import streamlit as st import yfinance as yf import numpy as np import pandas as pd import matplotlib.pyplot as plt import scipy.optimize as sco
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def get_stock_data(tickers, start, end): data = yf.download(tickers, start=start, end=end)
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if data.empty:
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st.error("Data saham tidak ditemukan. Periksa ticker atau rentang tanggal.")
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return None
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if 'Adj Close' in data.columns:
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return data['Adj Close']
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elif 'Close' in data.columns:
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st.warning("Menggunakan 'Close' karena 'Adj Close' tidak tersedia.")
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return data['Close']
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else:
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st.error("Data harga penutupan tidak ditemukan.")
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return None
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def calculate_returns(data): log_returns = np.log(data / data.shift(1)) return log_returns.mean() * 252, log_returns.cov() * 252
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def optimize_portfolio(returns, cov_matrix): num_assets = len(returns)
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def sharpe_ratio(weights):
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portfolio_return = np.dot(weights, returns)
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portfolio_volatility = np.sqrt(np.dot(weights.T, np.dot(cov_matrix, weights)))
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return -portfolio_return / portfolio_volatility
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constraints = ({'type': 'eq', 'fun': lambda x: np.sum(x) - 1})
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bounds = tuple((0, 1) for _ in range(num_assets))
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init_guess = num_assets * [1. / num_assets]
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result = sco.minimize(sharpe_ratio, init_guess, method='SLSQP', bounds=bounds, constraints=constraints)
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return result.x if result.success else None
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def generate_efficient_frontier(returns, cov_matrix, num_portfolios=5000): num_assets = len(returns) results = np.zeros((3, num_portfolios))
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for i in range(num_portfolios):
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weights = np.random.dirichlet(np.ones(num_assets), size=1)[0]
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portfolio_return = np.dot(weights, returns)
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portfolio_volatility = np.sqrt(np.dot(weights.T, np.dot(cov_matrix, weights)))
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sharpe_ratio = portfolio_return / portfolio_volatility
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results[0, i] = portfolio_return
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results[1, i] = portfolio_volatility
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results[2, i] = sharpe_ratio
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return results
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st.title("Analisis Portofolio Saham Optimal (Model Markowitz)")
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def get_recommended_stocks(): return "KLBF.JK, SIDO.JK, KAEF.JK, TLKM.JK, UNVR.JK" # Saham relevan saat pandemi
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def validate_tickers(tickers): invalid_tickers = [t for t in tickers if not yf.Ticker(t).history(period='1d').empty] if invalid_tickers: st.warning(f"Ticker tidak valid atau tidak memiliki data: {', '.join(invalid_tickers)}") return False return True
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st.write("Rekomendasi Saham yang Bertahan Saat COVID-19:") st.write(get_recommended_stocks())
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tickers_list = st.text_input("Masukkan ticker saham", "KLBF.JK, SIDO.JK, KAEF.JK").split(", ") start_date = st.date_input("Pilih tanggal mulai", pd.to_datetime("2020-01-01")) end_date = st.date_input("Pilih tanggal akhir", pd.to_datetime("2023-12-31"))
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if st.button("Analisis Portofolio"): if validate_tickers(tickers_list): stock_data = get_stock_data(tickers_list, start_date, end_date) if stock_data is not None: mean_returns, cov_matrix = calculate_returns(stock_data) optimal_weights = optimize_portfolio(mean_returns, cov_matrix)
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st.subheader("Statistik Saham")
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st.write(stock_data.describe())
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if optimal_weights is not None:
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st.subheader("Bobot Portofolio Optimal")
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portfolio_weights = {stock: weight for stock, weight in zip(stock_data.columns, optimal_weights)}
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st.write(portfolio_weights)
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fig, ax = plt.subplots()
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ax.pie(optimal_weights, labels=stock_data.columns, autopct='%1.1f%%', startangle=140)
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ax.axis('equal')
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st.pyplot(fig)
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results = generate_efficient_frontier(mean_returns, cov_matrix)
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st.subheader("Efficient Frontier")
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fig, ax = plt.subplots()
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scatter = ax.scatter(results[1, :], results[0, :], c=results[2, :], cmap="viridis", marker='o')
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ax.set_xlabel("Risiko (Standar Deviasi)")
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ax.set_ylabel("Return Tahunan")
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ax.set_title("Efficient Frontier")
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fig.colorbar(scatter, label="Sharpe Ratio")
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st.pyplot(fig)
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else:
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st.error("Optimasi portofolio gagal. Coba dengan saham yang berbeda.")
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